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The Declining Trend of Arctic Sea‑Ice Extent (1979–2025): Segmented by Abrupt Change Points and Possible Tipping Behavior

A study using satellite observations of Arctic sea‑ice extent from 1979 to 2025 identified a long‑term decline punctuated by multiple abrupt change points, suggesting nonlinear threshold responses that could signal Arctic tipping behavior. These findings refine forecasts of ice loss and its climatic impacts.

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